Trump’s second chance to make a first impression in Asia

Written by Chris Estep

Trump should decisively establish his administration’s approach to competition with China by issuing his own Interim National Security Strategic Guidance document and endorsing it in a televised speech from the Oval Office.

Discover the January issue of The Navigator – Out Now

This month we look at how the ongoing Gaza conflict is reshaping global geopolitics, and intensifying the rivalry between the US and China in the Indo-Pacific. Our second brief argues for the (re)inclusion of Kenya — an important regional power strategically located along the Indian Ocean — as a key part of the Indo-Pacific.

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News9DLJanuary 31, 2025The Navigator, 9DASHLINE, Indo-Pacific, ASEAN, The Bridge, EPinASEAN, European Parliament in ASEAN, China, India, Donald Trump, South China Sea, Scarborough Shoal, David MacSweeney, Taiwan, Gaza

South Korea’s martial law moment: constitutional crisis, and the regional order

Written by Dr Seohee Park

This crisis represents more than a domestic Korean political drama; it tests the resilience of regional alliances and could accelerate broader geopolitical shifts in an increasingly complex Northeast Asian landscape.

East Asia9DLJanuary 6, 20259DASHLINE, Constitutional crisis and regional order: South Korea’s martial law moment, Seohee Park, South Korea, Korea, Yoon, Yoon government, South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, Yoon Suk-yeol, Yoon Suk Yeol, President Yoon Suk Yeol, President Yoon Suk-yeol, South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol, martial law, First Lady Kim Keon Hee, stock manipulation, corruption, People Power Party (PPP), Han Dong-hoon, Foreign Minister Cho Tae-yul, National Assembly, Mencian principle, authoritarian, collective memory, Syngman Rhee’s anti-communist crackdowns, Park Chung-hee’s military dictatorship, Chun Doo-hwan, 1980 Gwangju Democracy Movement, national psyche, military, Yeouido, lawmakers, opposition, South Korea’s democracy, democracy, Constitutional Court, impeachment, bipartisan, Democratic Party (DP), Donald Trump, White House, regional stability, Shigeru Ishiba, Japan, Northeast Asia, diplomatic realignment, diplomatic, Korea passing, Chinese President Xi, Seoul-Tokyo rapprochement, semiconductor, trade, restrictions, Camp David summit, security cooperation, Lee Jae-myung, constitutional crisis, Moon Jae-in, North Korea, America First, Tokyo, Asian NATO, Ukraine, Taiwan, ASEAN, allies, Korean Peninsula, US-Japan alliance, US-UK relationship, Quad, India, Australia, Official Security Assistance (OSA), Philippines, Indonesia, Mongolia, Djibouti, semiconductor supply chains, emerging technologies, impeachment of Acting President Han Duck-soo (Prime Minister)

Discover the December issue of The Navigator – Out Now

As the year comes to a close, the Indo-Pacific continues to witness dynamic shifts across the political, economic, and strategic landscapes.

This month's brief explores how China may be attempting to connect disputes in the South China Sea with its declared objective of reunification with Taiwan.

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News9DLDecember 31, 2024The Navigator, 9DASHLINE, Indo-Pacific, ASEAN, The Bridge, EPinASEAN, European Parliament in ASEAN, Fiji, China, AUKUS, India, Donald Trump, South China Sea, Scarborough Shoal, David MacSweeney, Taiwan

NATO on a risky course

Written by Uwe Hoering

With every further escalation, the pressure to close ranks, to form hostile blocs and thus the danger of a military confrontation grows.

The Navigator's November issue is out now

This month has been defined by developments that highlight both challenges and frustrations on the global and regional stage. In this issue, we look at India’s pollution crisis and the evolving landscape of connected vehicles.

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News9DLNovember 29, 2024The Navigator, 9DASHLINE, Indo-Pacific, ASEAN, The Bridge, EPinASEAN, European Parliament in ASEAN, Fiji, China, AUKUS, Pollution, India, Donald Trump, Connected vehicles

Despite doubts, the Quad is here to stay

Written by Lucas Myers

The Quad’s role is clearer in 2024 than in 2017 or 2007. It coordinates and ensures the provision of public goods in an era of great power competition that is about much more than just traditional hard power security.

Pacific, Faultlines9DLNovember 26, 20249DASHLINE, Lucas Myers, Despite doubts, the Quad is here to stay, Quad, Quad Leaders’ Meeting, Quad Leaders' Summit, Delaware, US President Joe Biden, The Quad is here to stay, Delaware readout, Wilmington, US electoral season, New Delhi, Biden's home, New York, Japan, Australia, UN meeting, US scheduling conflicts, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, Shigeru Ishiba, Narendra Modi, Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, Quad collapsed, talk shop, counter-China coalition, Beijing, Southeast Asia, Pacific, Quad’s purpose., force for good, big-ticket infrastructure, 400 million doses, Indo-Pacific Partnership for Maritime Domain Awareness (IPMDA), Indo-Pacific, USD 140 million for undersea cables, Open RAN network in Palau, Palau, Global South, undersea cables, USD 500 million cable network, testing us all, East and South China Seas, non-Quad countries, latticework” concept, US-centered alliance system, Western Pacific, AUKUS, the Squad, Asian NATO, minilaterals, US-centric security architecture, rules-based order coalition, US Coast Guard, Papua New Guinea, Papua New Guinea’s landslides, Typhoon Yagi, Kevin Rudd, 2024 Quad summit, 2022 Quad Summit in Tokyo, Harris administration, Republican Party, Asia First, Republican White House, Development Finance Corporation, allied burden sharing, India, United States, Here to stay, Minilateral grouping, Wilson Center

In Forum: Donald Trump re-elected, the Indo-Pacific reacts

In this In Forum, 9DASHLINE asks several experts what to expect from the next US administration and its potential impact on the Indo-Pacific region.

Editor's Picks9DLNovember 11, 20249DASHLINE, Donald Trump re-elected, the Indo-Pacific reacts, Matthew sussex, Kei koga, Yuki Tatsumi, andrea chloe wong, Kate clayton, Kate Clayton, Australia must adapt swiftly, Reaganesque 'Peace through strength', Trump's transactional world, grand strategic bargains, US security partner, iron-clad, Russia, China, American politics, misty-eyed sentiments, America first, transactional, Shigeru Ishiba, US-Japan alliance, 2 percent of GDP, Donald Trump, Ukraine war, gaza, Trump administration, Shinzo abe, Free and Open Indo-Pacific, Asian NATO, Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA), cultivate a personal relationship with Trump, National Security Advisor, latticework of alliances and partnerships, bilateral negotiations, equitable alliance, tough decisions, force Japan to make tough decisions, industrial security, positive disruptor, more uncertainties for the philippines, Japan faces tough national security decisions, Manila, protectionism, Filipinos, 350, 000 Filipinos, US Department of Homeland Security, 5th largest unlawful immigrant population, immigration, household spending, South China Sea, boosting defence cooperatio, maritime aggression, AUKUS's future in doubt, AUKUS Agreement, Australia, Philippines, Japan, AUKUS Agreement is in trouble, Indo-Pacific, US-Australia relations, Climate, Critical Minerals and Clean Energy Transformation Compact, tariffs, Southeast Asia, diplomatic footprint in the Pacific, Pacific, climate change, Quad, middle powers, Joe Biden, US disinterest, America, India, climate change cooperation, Europe, Pacific Islands, Jake Sullivan, multilayered security framework

India’s inevitable military diversification to the West

Written by Patrizia Cogo Morales

Like the US and France, other European countries and their private sectors should enhance their engagement with India, given the significant potential in military procurement deals and the defence industry overall.

Europe and the Indo-Pacific9DLOctober 17, 2024India, France, United States, India’s inevitable military diversification to the West, Patrizia Cogo Morales, 9dashline, Narendra Modi, Russia, China, Make in India

Sheikh Hasina’s political demise and Bangladesh’s foreign policy in the Yunus era

Written by Khandakar Tahmid Rejwan

Bangladesh’s historical pro-India stance under Hasina is likely to diminish under the new interim administration due to Touhid’s critical views on India over issues like alleged border killings and the need to balance geopolitical partners.

South Asia, Power Politics9DLOctober 8, 2024Sheikh Hasina’s political demise and Bangladesh’s foreign policy in the Yunus era, Khandakar Tahmid Rejwan, Bangladesh, Sheikh Hasina, Muhammad Yunus, China, India, Myanmar, Protests

United by cause, divided by politics: Assembly elections in Jammu and Kashmir

Written by Dr Nazir Ahmad Mir

Despite unity in the cause and an awareness that the local population has rejected their traditional political approaches, these parties are unable to work constructively for the benefit of the local population. Once again, they seem to overlook the fact that their short-term, self-serving policies have come at a high cost to the people of Jammu and Kashmir.

South Asia9DLOctober 1, 20249DASHLINE, Nazir Ahmad Mir, United by cause, Jammu and Kashmir, Election Commission, divided by politics: Assembly elections in Jammu and Kashmir, India, BJP

TikTok, Hip Hop, and the big shots — humanising great power rivalry

Written by Solomon PM

Contrary to substantive and decades-long literature speculating as to the destabilisation posed by China’s rise, at least in the case of 88rising, this rise has shown signs of being peaceful and mutually beneficial, as well as providing meaning and fulfilment for individuals on both sides of the divide.

Editor's Picks9DLSeptember 11, 20249DASHLINE, Solomon Pace-McCarrick, Solomon PM, TikTok, Hip Hop, and the big shots — humanising great power rivalry, Great power rivalry, TikTok ban, social media, spyware, espionage, United States, China, ByteDance, Hakeem Jeffries, national security, Mark Warner, Marco Rubio, Chinese Communist Party’s, Chinese Communist Party, Chinese Communist Party’s cultural embargos, State Administration of Radio and Television (SART), Publicity Department of the Communist Party of China (CPCPD), media, culture, intercultural communication, 88rising, Asian-American, zero-sum game, positive-sum game, online media trends, music, genres, India, Pakistan, Kashmir, Bollywood, geopolitics, national interest, Sean Miyashiro, Japan, Korea, Midsummer Madness, East-West cultural encounters, meaning, visibility, The Bicultural Identity, Western society, immigration, Canada, Netflix, Beef, cultural milieu, African-American, Higher Brothers, rap, Melo, Joji, Rich Brian, American culture, superstars, Marvel’s Shang Chi and the Ten Rings, Marvel’s Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings, Chinese pride, Joseph Nye, soft power, The Rise of China’s Soft Power, Thucydides Trap, hostile foreign adversaries, relative powers, ban on TikTok, TikTok Hip Hop and the big shots — humanising great power rivalry

Striking a balance in India's evolving AI odyssey

Written by Fatima Tahir

In navigating these challenges and fortifying its regulatory framework, India needs to steer its AI journey towards a future that is both prosperous and socially responsible.

Wildcatting the Pacific: Seabed mining and the Pacific islands

Written by Drake Long

While the ISA Council could not agree on regulations, it did agree that it would from now on have oversight over the seabed mining application process instead of the ISA’s exclusive Legal and Technical Commission.

Sri Lanka’s potential political realignment

Written by Dr Neil DeVotta

Ultimately, given the dire economic and debt situation facing the island, the victorious candidate and his party will have little choice but to balance relations with major powers like India, China, and the United States.

Power Politics, South Asia9DLJuly 31, 20249DASHLINE, Sri Lanka’s potential political realignment, Neil DeVotta, Sri Lanka, Sri Lankan economy, presidential election, Gotabaya Rajapaksa, Rajapaksa, Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa, Rajapaksa family, Sinhalese Buddhist nationalism, majoritarian, fiscal stability, balance of payments crisis, United National Party, Ranil Wickremesinghe, taxes, austerity, IMF program, World Bank, food insecure, poverty, Central Bank, debt restructuring, multilateral, bilateral, Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna, corruption, ‘Ranil-Rajapaksa’ regime, dynasty, Sajith Premadasa, Samagi Jana Balawegaya, SJB, JVP, Janata Vimukthi Peramuna, Anura Kumara Dissanayake, UNP, IMF, SLPP, creditors, Marxist, insurgencies, ethnic, Sri Lankan Civil War, Sri Lanka’s civil war, human rights violations, Tamils, geopolitics, United States, Australia, Japan, pro-China, China, White Elephant, Chinese loans, Hambantota Port, Mattala International Airport, Mahinda Rajapaksa International Cricket Stadium, multi-aligned foreign policy, multi-aligned, India, ethnocracy

A new era dawns: Labour’s Indo-Pacific offer

Written by Sam Hogg

Labour has chosen to keep its Indo-Pacific cards close to its chest. Success for a future British government in the region will require dexterity and a robust understanding of what regional players want.

Europe and the Indo-Pacific, Most Popular9DLJuly 15, 20249dashline, Sam Hogg, A new era dawns: Labour’s Indo-Pacific offer, UK, indo-pacific, Labour left office in 2010, Downing Street, Chinese President Xi Jinping, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen, Philippine President Ferdinand ‘Bongbong’ Marcos Jr, South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, People's Republic of China (PRC), AUKUS, CPTTP, Quad, Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, South Korea, Japan, driving force for global trade, Conservative Party, tilt to the Indo-Pacific, Tilt, John Healey, David Lammy, Shadow Foreign and Defence Secretaries David Lammy and John Healey, Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine, Strategic Defence Review, party’s manifesto, Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP), South China Sea, Penny Wong, flourishing economy, innovative, PRC, Five Eyes, G7, partnerships with their Taiwanese counterparts, Taiwan, Indonesia, India, Beijing’s grey zone activities, China Strategic Risk Institute, cyber-security dialogue with Taiwan, 2023 UK-Singapore Cyber Dialogue, GCHQ, HMS Spey, Energy Independence Act, Pacific Island nations, Securonomics, three of the world’s five largest economies by 2050, Inflation Reduction Act, Downing Street Accord., Downing Street Accord, City of London, critical minerals, artificial intelligence, non-sensitive sectors, regional players, HMS Spey’s visits, 2023 UK-Singapore Cyber Dialogue., Indo-Pacific policy, British universities, Labour government, Australia, Indo-Pacific tilt, Prime Minister Boris Johnson, naval vessels, QUAD, CPTPP, 4 July, UK goes to the polls

Sri Lankan economy: Crisis, consolidation, and collaboration

Written by Soumya Bhowmick

Restructuring Sri Lanka’s debt, particularly with major creditors such as India and China, gives Colombo a certain amount of leverage in negotiations with the IMF and reflects shifting regional dynamics.

Citizenship and its amendments: How the CAA filters and institutionalises “doubt”

Written by Uday Vir Garg

However, when read along with its administrative counterparts, we start to see how legislation with the intent to absorb outsiders and consolidate liberal citizenship, ends up filtering insiders by irregularising their previously stable sense of belonging.

South Asia9DLMay 27, 2024India, 9dashline, Uday Vir Garg, Citizenship and its amendments: how the CAA filters and institutionalises “doubt”, CAA, NRC, Citizenship Amendment Act, citizenship, religion