Posts in Most Popular
The politics of Taliban recognition

Written by Michael Kugelman

For the United States, giving Kabul access to aid — including nearly USD $10 billion in foreign reserves frozen by Washington — is hard to justify without recognising the regime.

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Can Russia become China’s strategic mercenary?

Written by Artyom Lukin

In a nutshell, Russia could become a giant military contractor — a twenty-first-century condottiero state, and a nuclear-armed one at that. A broke but still militarily strong and audacious country that does the bidding of a rich superpower — for remuneration.

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The EU’s new hype around Taiwan: Prospects for a more granular approach

Written by Justyna Szczudlik

The European Parliament’s role in popularising the Taiwan issue cannot be overestimated. The EU should promptly move towards popularising existing platforms for cooperation with Taiwan, such as those on industrial, digital and high-tech topics.

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Advancing collective defence through the Australia-US alliance

Written by Ashley Townshend and Tom Corben

Transforming military exercises into collective deterrence operations will require the US, Australia, Japan and South Korea to double down on their strategic, military and technical coordination. This is a difficult path to tread even at the bilateral level. But it is vital to upholding the Indo-Pacific order.

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挺身對抗中國可以讓立陶宛、歐盟與台灣關係更緊密

作者:馮儒莎 博士

來自里加、塔林,以及布魯塞爾對立陶宛的支持,不僅是崇高且必要,對波羅的海和歐盟整體的未來也至關重要。立陶宛決定在台灣開設辦事處的決定,為拉脫維亞和愛沙尼亞樹立了先例,這兩個鄰國皆面臨來自中國和俄羅斯相似的威脅,必須緊急解決國內類似的弱點。

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Myanmar's military isn't playing politics: It’s trying to end them

Written by Hunter Marston

It is unlikely that the United States will arm various factions to topple the military — nor should it, as doing so would only add more fuel to an already raging fire. Only by helping the elected government deliver basic governance to the people who elected it can the country hope for a future in which the military steps aside and allows the restoration of democracy.

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Decentering ASEAN in the Quad’s Indo-Pacific strategy

Written by Rohan Mukherjee

ASEAN can then continue to hold together and take a middle path, offering security cooperation to the Quad, economic cooperation to China, and institutionalised opportunities for diplomacy all around. The Quad for its part can continue growing its footprint without maintaining the pretence of ASEAN centrality and the need to convince smaller regional states to irrationally become the tip of the spear aimed at China.

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Testing the Quad’s support for Taiwan

Written by Huynh Tam Sang

A Quad-aligned security umbrella with Taiwan’s security as one of the top priorities would also assure Taiwan of the grouping’s commitment to supporting the island. Additionally, the security and defence alignment framework would be a firm signal to Beijing that the Quad is not merely a talking shop, but a mode of security multilateralism in the making.

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Whitsun Reef: The next escalation point?

Written by Jay L Batongbacal

Manila must resume its original policy of standing by international law, reinforce its alliance with the US and strategic partnerships with middle powers like Japan and Australia, and deepen friendships with other external parties such as the UK and the EU.

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The Dutch are looking towards the Indo-Pacific: New Delhi should take advantage

Written by Gokul Sahni

Greater buy-in among European countries will help broaden the Indo-Pacific concept and the Netherlands would therefore join those voices in Brussels already pushing the EU towards working more closely with 'like-minded' partners in the region in seeking to promote both peace and prosperity.

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Is China losing Central and Eastern Europe?

Written by Michael Trinkwalder

However, if the EU truly wishes to make its Eastern members commit to a common strategy, its Western members will also have to give up on their jealously guarded ‘special relationships’ with China. A strategy devised between Paris and Berlin alone might be more ambitious, but it would do little good if it left half of the Union out in the cold.

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What the numbers can (and can’t) tell us about the South China Sea dispute

Written by Andrew Chubb

This brief, broad-brush picture emerges from the Maritime Assertiveness Times Series (MATS) project, which is compiling corresponding data on other states in the South China Sea, as well as an East China Sea series. Data collection and coding is still in progress, but once complete, the project will enable us to ask an array of new questions on the dynamics of maritime disputes in East Asia.

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From bargaining chip to regional partner: Taiwan-US relations post 2020 election

Written by Kuan-Ting Chen

Whoever occupies the White House after November has now clearly experienced first-hand that Taiwan can indeed help. With enough work already carried out here in Taipei, Washington has an unparalleled opportunity to elevate the status of this small but mighty nation to a regional leader — in line with its own goals for engagement with the Indo-Pacific region.

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India and France: From strategic partners to a strategic alliance

Written by John Pollock

After conducting the largest ever Varuna exercise off Goa in May 2019, the Chief of France’s navy Admiral Christophe Prazcuk announced that the French and Indian navies would undertake joint maritime security patrols in the Indian Ocean. The first such patrol took place in March 2020 utilising P-8 Poseidon anti-submarine aircraft.

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Australia’s strategic blind spot: China’s newfound intimacy with once-rival Russia

Written by Alexey D Muraviev

It came as no surprise that a month later, the honour guards of the People’s Liberation Army marched in Red Square as part of grand celebrations to mark the 75th anniversary of Soviet victory over Germany. The event was heavy on symbolism — yet another way for the two rivals to signal their growing closeness.

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